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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tnl | joseph00677 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (541–489, n=1030) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$38K | $5.6M | $194K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #841 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (36 of 49 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 86% (134 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −13 pts, n=17 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 993 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 17% of 248) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 44% of 245) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 60% of 248) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 86% of 252) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tnl | joseph00677 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $35K | — | — | No $407K |