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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tradecraft | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (2371–2607, n=4978) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $962K | $4.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #156 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (7 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 47% (8 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 2599 at avg 51¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 11% of 791) | 0% | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 47% of 453) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 78% of 485) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 96% of 870) | 0% | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tradecraft | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | — | Over $4 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $21 | — | — | Broncos $6.8K |