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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wowitsamazingBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)58% (11039–7927, n=18966)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$1.5M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)73% (73 of 100 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCrypto −14 pts, n=13192—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won54% of 13193 at avg 68¢, ROI −27%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 10% of 625)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 28% of 1397)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 43% of 3165)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 66% of 8006)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.