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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| yabanci | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (67–56, n=123) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$84K | $14.8M | $11.0M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #203 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (26 of 46 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=35 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 113 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 29% of 7) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 44% (won 40% of 50) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 71% of 45) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 73% of 11) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | yabanci | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $45K | Under $14 | — | — |