Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 63% (141–82, n=223) · was PM monthly #1000 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$12.6K
Record
141W / 82L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 223 settled
Batting Avg
75.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1047
Source
PM monthly #1000
Record (90 d)
59/115 · 51%
Trades
86
Markets
251
Volume
$853.4K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BMOUZ $2.9K · now 97¢ · in at 95¢with the consensus (65% of 27)
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes $207 · now 41¢ · in at 41¢with the consensus (50% of 49)
Specialties
203 settled consensus markets · held side won 62% at an average entry of 59¢- Geopolitics
+10 pts
side won 52% of 25 · avg entry 42¢
ROI −1%
- Soccer
+4 pts
side won 67% of 33 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +2%
- Crypto
+3 pts
side won 89% of 18 · avg entry 86¢
ROI +3%
Weakest: Esports — held side won 41% of 59 at an average 41¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI +3%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 8% of 59)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 36% of 14)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 61% of 33)
- 70¢ and up: 48%(won 99% of 97)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.