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EE
Consensus PnL $247K · win rate 75% (558–183, n=741) · PM monthly #185 · holds 9 consensus positions
0xeea3f08e...7b56a6a2Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$247.4K
Record
558W / 183L
Win Rate
75.0%
of 741 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#568
Source
PM monthly #185
Trades
4,940
Markets
8,541
Volume
$13.1M
Top consensus positions
9 in listed consensus markets · 6 of 9 on the consensus side (67%)- Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotJiri Lehecka $1.7K · now 88¢ · in at 68¢with the consensus (65% of 27)
- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Alex MolcanAlex Molcan $788 · now 100¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (54% of 24)
- Taranto: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid NordquistArvid Nordquist $642 · now 52¢ · in at 79¢against the consensus (Matteo Sciahbasi)
- Villa Maria: Rocco Valente vs Ryo TabataRyo Tabata $507 · now 47¢ · in at 76¢with the consensus (63% of 9)
- Courmayeur: Noma Noha Akugue vs Alina CharaevaAlina Charaeva $384 · now 74¢ · in at 77¢with the consensus (80% of 11)
- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo SonegoLorenzo Sonego $287 · now 72¢ · in at 69¢against the consensus (Adolfo Vallejo)
- Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia GrabherAlice Tubello $55 · now 17¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (69% of 15)
- Bratislava 2: Matyas Cerny vs Sebastian SorgerMatyas Cerny $24 · now 31¢ · in at 37¢against the consensus (Sebastian Sorger)
Specialties
1,096 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 78¢- Tennis
+22 pts
side won 100% of 1094 · avg entry 78¢
ROI +10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 94% of 18)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 100% of 78)
- 50–70¢: 17%(won 100% of 191)
- 70¢ and up: 74%(won 100% of 809)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.