Consensus PnL -$37K · win rate 59% (1112–788, n=1900) · was PM monthly #695 · holds 7 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-37.4K
Record
1112W / 788L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 1900 settled
Batting Avg
43.4%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#785
Source
PM monthly #695
Record (90 d)
561/996 · 56%
Trades
1,294
Markets
2,325
Volume
$1.6M
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Top consensus positions
7 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 7 on the consensus side (43%)- Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?Yes $1.3K · now 98¢ · in at 37¢with the consensus (53% of 15)
- Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?Yes $893 · now 96¢ · in at 15¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5Over $789 · now 49¢ · in at 44¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
- Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?Yes $789 · now 97¢ · in at 40¢against the consensus (No)
- Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?Yes $254 · now 94¢ · in at 59¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $161 · now 99¢ · in at 57¢against the consensus (No)
- Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club?Yes $137 · now 95¢ · in at 52¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
2,066 settled consensus markets · held side won 58% at an average entry of 60¢- NBA
+2 pts
side won 54% of 288 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +2%
- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 79% of 67 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +5%
- Other Sports
+7 pts
side won 41% of 17 · avg entry 35¢
ROI +23%
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 58% of 694 at an average 61¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 17% of 229)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 36% of 541)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 57% of 578)
- 70¢ and up: 35%(won 88% of 718)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.