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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was eternal premium — but maybe won instead.

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs maybe - Map 1 Winner

Resolved maybe. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held eternal premium. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

eternal premium 60%

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

$2.4K

Smart Money Signal

eternal premium

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

eternal premium0%

maybe100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

eternal premium5 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,905

Combined PnL+$246.2

maybe3 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,189

Combined PnL+$2.1K

eternal premium — 63%maybe — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fCTR	eternal premiumavg 60.5¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$552.72	54% 2455-2112 (4567)
TO topdogbigboi	maybeavg 30.3¢	$279.84	$916.54	+$636.7	48% 8966-9597 (18563)
poshposh	maybeavg 26.9¢	$105.85	$272.76	+$166.91	58% 10670-7656 (18326)
daddyradar	maybeavg 37.1¢	$769.44	$0.01	+$1.3K	67% 90-45 (135)
TE testBruno2CTR	eternal premiumavg 66.3¢	$632.06	$0	+$88.32	58% 896-647 (1543)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR	eternal premiumavg 59.1¢	$169.07	—	-$169.07	59% 30677-21391 (52068)
SH shiifooCTR	eternal premiumavg 58¢	$102.15	—	+$50.46	59% 3430-2345 (5775)
0X 0x4f2CTR	eternal premiumavg 58.5¢	$276.23	—	-$276.23	52% 9185-8561 (17746)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fCTR

eternal premium

Invested

$1,201.61

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$552.72

Record

54%

2455-2112 (4567)

Invested

$279.84

Value

$916.54

PnL

+$636.7

Record

48%

8966-9597 (18563)

Invested

$105.85

Value

$272.76

PnL

+$166.91

Record

58%

10670-7656 (18326)

Invested

$769.44

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

67%

90-45 (135)

eternal premium

Invested

$632.06

Value

$0

PnL

+$88.32

Record

58%

896-647 (1543)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR

eternal premium

Invested

$169.07

Value

—

PnL

-$169.07

Record

59%

30677-21391 (52068)

eternal premium

Invested

$102.15

Value

—

PnL

+$50.46

Record

59%

3430-2345 (5775)

eternal premium

Invested

$276.23

Value

—

PnL

-$276.23

Record

52%

9185-8561 (17746)

Smart Money Signal

eternal premium

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc689894d...b2b0e4

Slug

cs2-ep-maybe-2026-11-01-game1

Traders in this Market

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

eternal premium — $1.2K

topdogbigboi

maybe — $916.54

poshposh

maybe — $272.76

daddyradar

maybe — $0.01

testBruno2

eternal premium — $0

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

eternal premium — $0

shiifoo

eternal premium — $0

0x4f2

eternal premium — $0

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