Counter-Strike: Prestige vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B

6 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Prestige (55%) · Prestige at 100¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 8

Prestige>99¢KUUSAMO.gg<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Prestige

Consensus Traders

Prestige 55%

Total Value

$3.5K

Combined PnL

$474.65

Smart Money Entry

83.3¢ → 100¢

+20% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralPrestige at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Prestige

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Prestige100%

KUUSAMO.gg0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

KUUSAMO.gg5 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares3,803

Combined PnL+$392.85

Prestige6 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares1,818

Combined PnL+$81.8

KUUSAMO.gg — 45%Prestige — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR	KUUSAMO.ggavg 36.2¢	$1.0K	$1.4K	+$384.64	55% 247-205 (452)
31 319113331313111	Prestigeavg 84.7¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$91.91	59% 414-284 (698)
GA Gaditima	Prestigeavg 80.4¢	$360.59	$345.74	-$14.85	47% 7503-8319 (15822)
GL glennyorkshireCTR	KUUSAMO.ggavg 40.1¢	$97.92	$121.95	+$24.03	45% 205-249 (454)
KA KaczkaCTR	KUUSAMO.ggavg 38.2¢	$87.68	$114.86	+$27.19	51% 500-489 (989)
FE ferrariChampions2026<$100	Prestigeavg 80.7¢	$78.24	$68.1	-$10.14	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
38 38791873984189<$100	Prestigeavg 80¢	$29.6	$36.98	+$7.38	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
PA Pan9X<$100	Prestigeavg 63.4¢	$61.21	$23.16	+$4.4	54% 10485-8797 (19282)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Prestigeavg 66.2¢	$6.1	$9.21	+$3.11	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
PA panpidaras1CTR<$100	KUUSAMO.ggavg 8¢	$42.4	$0.27	-$42.14	48% 293-320 (613)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	KUUSAMO.ggavg 8¢	$0.88	$0.01	-$0.87	47% 9585-10702 (20287)

0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR

KUUSAMO.gg

Invested

$1,009.7

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$384.64

Record

55%

247-205 (452)

319113331313111

Prestige

Invested

$1,253.77

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$91.91

Record

59%

414-284 (698)

Gaditima

Prestige

Invested

$360.59

Value

$345.74

PnL

-$14.85

Record

47%

7503-8319 (15822)

glennyorkshireCTR

KUUSAMO.gg

Invested

$97.92

Value

$121.95

PnL

+$24.03

Record

45%

205-249 (454)

KaczkaCTR

KUUSAMO.gg

Invested

$87.68

Value

$114.86

PnL

+$27.19

Record

51%

500-489 (989)

ferrariChampions2026<$100

Prestige

Invested

$78.24

Value

$68.1

PnL

-$10.14

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

38791873984189<$100

Prestige

Invested

$29.6

Value

$36.98

PnL

+$7.38

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

Pan9X<$100

Prestige

Invested

$61.21

Value

$23.16

PnL

+$4.4

Record

54%

10485-8797 (19282)

Flaznorp<$100

Prestige

Invested

$6.1

Value

$9.21

PnL

+$3.11

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

panpidaras1CTR<$100

KUUSAMO.gg

Invested

$42.4

Value

$0.27

PnL

-$42.14

Record

48%

293-320 (613)

lryyyCTR<$100

KUUSAMO.gg

Invested

$0.88

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$0.87

Record

47%

9585-10702 (20287)

Research grade

NeutralPrestige at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Prestige

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Prestige wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.