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NoYesNoYesNoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 75%
Total Value
$2.0K
Combined PnL
-$217.3
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,335
Combined PnL$-1.8K
Yes2 traders
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares1,982
Combined PnL+$1.6K
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 77¢ | $1.6K | — | $-1.6K | 50% 27338-27264 (54602) |
CA Cannae | Yesavg 20¢ | $369.04 | $1.8K | +$1.5K | 53% 16390-14565 (30955) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Noavg 76.6¢ | $119.81 | — | -$119.81 | 48% 14412-15920 (30332) |
SU suntori | Yesavg 23.9¢ | $32.63 | $136.61 | +$103.98 | 45% 13709-16632 (30341) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | $23.43 | — | -$23.43 | 58% 18645-13742 (32387) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | $20.02 | — | -$20.02 | 53% 928-828 (1756) |
AN AnonymousUsernameCTR<$100 | Noavg 76¢ | $9.5 | — | -$9.5 | 71% 6986-2793 (9779) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Noavg 78.7¢ | $4.33 | — | -$4.33 | 52% 8478-7730 (16208) |
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$1,620.35
Value
—
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
50%
27338-27264 (54602)
CA
CannaeInvested
$369.04
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
53%
16390-14565 (30955)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$119.81
Value
—
PnL
-$119.81
Record
48%
14412-15920 (30332)
SU
suntoriInvested
$32.63
Value
$136.61
PnL
+$103.98
Record
45%
13709-16632 (30341)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$23.43
Value
—
PnL
-$23.43
Record
58%
18645-13742 (32387)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$20.02
Value
—
PnL
-$20.02
Record
53%
928-828 (1756)
AN
AnonymousUsernameCTR<$100Invested
$9.5
Value
—
PnL
-$9.5
Record
71%
6986-2793 (9779)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$4.33
Value
—
PnL
-$4.33
Record
52%
8478-7730 (16208)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc51e26d7...e44eb9
Slug
ucl-bog-lil-2026-11-03-draw