Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
Resolved No. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
No 25%
1 arb excluded
$598.34
-$99.18
Smart Money Signal
2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Noavg 94.6¢ | $322.43 | $293.52 | -$24.51 | 48% 14412-15920 (30332) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 94.6¢ | $277.67 | $293.52 | +$15.85 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $42.59 | — | -$40.36 | |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 95¢ | $259 | $272.5 | +$13.5 | 52% 847-783 (1630) |
DV dv-pmCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.6¢ | $47.74 | — | -$47.74 | 49% 3264-3355 (6619) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 94.4¢ | $30.51 | $32.32 | +$1.91 | 50% 35629-35110 (70739) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.4¢ | $27.75 | — | -$27.75 | 53% 928-828 (1756) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.6¢ | $15.55 | — | -$15.55 | 50% 20222-20549 (40771) |
PU purplegattoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.7¢ | $10.8 | — | -$10.8 | 50% 6074-6177 (12251) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.6¢ | $8.06 | — | -$8.06 | 45% 13709-16632 (30341) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.5¢ | $4.68 | — | -$4.68 | 53% 921-802 (1723) |
Invested
$322.43
Value
$293.52
PnL
-$24.51
Record
48%
14412-15920 (30332)
Both legs:
Invested
$259
Value
$272.5
PnL
+$13.5
Record
52%
847-783 (1630)
Invested
$47.74
Value
—
PnL
-$47.74
Record
49%
3264-3355 (6619)
Invested
$30.51
Value
$32.32
PnL
+$1.91
Record
50%
35629-35110 (70739)
Invested
$27.75
Value
—
PnL
-$27.75
Record
53%
928-828 (1756)
Invested
$15.55
Value
—
PnL
-$15.55
Record
50%
20222-20549 (40771)
Invested
$10.8
Value
—
PnL
-$10.8
Record
50%
6074-6177 (12251)
Invested
$8.06
Value
—
PnL
-$8.06
Record
45%
13709-16632 (30341)
Invested
$4.68
Value
—
PnL
-$4.68
Record
53%
921-802 (1723)