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D5
Consensus PnL $1.2M · win rate 73% (40–15, n=55) · was PM monthly #77 · holds 39 consensus positions
0xd570e634...5cc7e4f8Polymarket
🐋Whale🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$1.2M
Record
40W / 15L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 55 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#641
Source
PM monthly #77
Trades
45
Markets
96
Volume
$3.8M
Top consensus positions
39 in listed consensus markets · 11 of 39 on the consensus side (28%)- Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?No $5 · now 100¢ · in at 99¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?No $5 · now 100¢ · in at 99¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No $5 · now 100¢ · in at 96¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?No $5 · now 100¢ · in at 99¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?No $5 · now 100¢ · in at 99¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?No $5 · now 100¢ · in at 99¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?No $5 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?No $5 · now 100¢ · in at 99¢against the consensus (Yes)
Specialties
32 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+45 pts
side won 100% of 32 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +40%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 47%(won 100% of 15)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 100% of 10)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 100% of 7)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.