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B5
Consensus PnL $242K · win rate 52% (196–180, n=376) · PM monthly #434 · holds 8 consensus positions
0xb52e8b3a...6d67285cPolymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$242.0K
Record
196W / 180L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 376 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1645
Source
PM monthly #434
Trades
134
Markets
391
Volume
$7.3M
Top consensus positions
8 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 8 on the consensus side (50%)- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?No $52K · now 57¢ · in at 34¢with the consensus (61% of 48)
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Yes $46K · now 41¢ · in at 39¢against the consensus (No)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over $29K · now 40¢ · in at 45¢against the consensus (Under)
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Yes $23K · now 46¢ · in at 37¢against the consensus (No)
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-01?Yes $7.6K · now 69¢ · in at 45¢with the consensus (53% of 18)
- FC Baník Ostrava vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Under $6.7K · now 0¢ · in at 43¢with the consensus (33% of 9)
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Over $1.6K · now 57¢ · in at 59¢against the consensus (Under)
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Over $476 · now 64¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (52% of 37)
Specialties
188 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 50¢- Soccer
+50 pts
side won 100% of 188 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 47%(won 100% of 88)
- 50–70¢: 53%(won 100% of 99)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.