Known as g56gz56guzn547nu76 since Nov 6 2026 · Previously known as: g56gz56guzn547nu76 (Nov 4 – Nov 6 2026), para-Vision (Oct 22 – Nov 4 2026), 274fjeuhb38264hu (Oct 3 2026)
Consensus PnL $505K · win rate 57% (235–177, n=412) · PM monthly #79 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$504.6K
Record
235W / 177L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 412 settled
Batting Avg
49.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#874
Source
PM monthly #79
Record (90 d)
232/398 · 58%
Trades
7,359
Markets
451
Volume
$4.4M
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Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 5 on the consensus side (40%)- Ducks vs. FlamesDucks $8.5K · now 43¢ · in at 43¢with the consensus (83% of 18)
- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Yes $2.3K · now 17¢ · in at 20¢against the consensus (No)
- Blue Jackets vs. SabresSabres $1.4K · now 61¢ · in at 59¢with the consensus (83% of 12)
- Sharks vs. WildWild $1.1K · now 72¢ · in at 68¢against the consensus (Sharks)
- Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes $134 · now 31¢ · in at 22¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
396 settled consensus markets · held side won 58% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+6 pts
side won 63% of 228 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +9%
- NBA
+20 pts
side won 73% of 11 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +20%
- NFL
+5 pts
side won 62% of 13 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +11%
Weakest: NHL — held side won 48% of 106 at an average 51¢ entry (−2 pts against the price), ROI −2%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 0% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 51% of 113)
- 50–70¢: 64%(won 59% of 255)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 88% of 25)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.