Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 100% (3–0, n=3) · PM monthly #508 · holds 7 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$19.5K
Record
3W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 3 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#24
Source
PM monthly #508
Record (90 d)
3/3 · 100%
Trades
17
Markets
16
Volume
$15.5K
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Top consensus positions
7 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 7 on the consensus side (43%)- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $23K · now 97¢ · in at 33¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $15K · now 96¢ · in at 34¢with the consensus (42% of 28)
- Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?Yes $6.7K · now 99¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (55% of 11)
- Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?Yes $4.1K · now 93¢ · in at 17¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $3.2K · now 95¢ · in at 37¢against the consensus (No)
- Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?Yes $3.1K · now 95¢ · in at 20¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $1 · now 96¢with the consensus (53% of 20)
Specialties
3 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 100¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where bot-rapin's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.