Consensus PnL $6.6K · win rate 69% (9–4, n=13) · was PM monthly #936 · holds 16 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$6.6K
Record
9W / 4L
Win Rate
69.0%
of 13 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#803
Source
PM monthly #936
Trades
29
Markets
31
Volume
$166.9K
Top consensus positions
16 in listed consensus markets · 12 of 16 on the consensus side (75%)- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes $11K · now 71¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (82% of 108)
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes $4.3K · now 72¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (80% of 86)
- Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes $4.2K · now 71¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (73% of 23)
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes $4.0K · now 68¢ · in at 68¢with the consensus (60% of 60)
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No $4.0K · now 68¢ · in at 68¢with the consensus (52% of 58)
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No $3.8K · now 65¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (67% of 133)
- Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes $2.4K · now 79¢ · in at 54¢with the consensus (69% of 30)
- Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No $2.3K · now 78¢ · in at 54¢with the consensus (52% of 33)
Specialties
9 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 89¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where brte's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 9)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.