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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Pain | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (294–180, n=474) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 43% (10–13, n=23) |
| Consensus PnL | $247K | $7.7M | $4.1M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #478 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 73% (90 of 124 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 452 at avg 56¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 23% of 73) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 50% of 117) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 82% of 137) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 98% of 125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.