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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankgod83743894
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (64–71, n=135)56% (20–16, n=36)94% (16–1, n=17)
Consensus PnL—-$420K$822K$155
Tracked as—PM monthly #10PM monthly #1PM monthly #188
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)33% (2 of 6 open)93% (396 of 428 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Economy ±0 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%89% of 168 at avg 89¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 50% of 2)0%10% (won 0% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 95% of 19)57% (won 100% of 13)1% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 100% of 33)39% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 100% of 18)4% (won 100% of 1)89% (won 100% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankgod83743894
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Josh Hokit $191KCiryl Gane $322K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.7KNo $23
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.4KNo $108