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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankkaxel78
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (61–67, n=128)56% (20–16, n=36)no settled market
Consensus PnL—-$304K$822K-$1
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #1PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (2 of 8 open)33% (2 of 6 open)93% (172 of 185 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
  • NBA +52 pts n=11, ROI +49%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Economy −2 pts, n=13
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 20 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%77% of 91 at avg 78¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)0%21% (won 0% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)60% (won 100% of 12)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)35% (won 100% of 7)3% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)5% (won 100% of 1)75% (won 100% of 68)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankkaxel78
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Josh Hokit $187KCiryl Gane $320K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.7KNo $330
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
——No $17KNo $409