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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4god83743894
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4539–3322, n=7861)no settled market28% (3426–9023, n=12449)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M—-$134K
Tracked as—PM monthly #19—PM monthly #210
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (12 of 19 open)no open consensus position67% (121 of 180 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • MLB +3 pts n=59, ROI +3%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136—Weather −7 pts, n=6486
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—25% of 9461 at avg 31¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)—72% (won 0% of 6802)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1743)—2% (won 39% of 165)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2080)—2% (won 55% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2114)—24% (won 96% of 2270)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4god83743894
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.8K—No $192
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $868—No $223
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $104
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $148