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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x53eCc53E7BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market40% (345–511, n=856)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL—$14K$9.4M$5.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #655PM monthly #1PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (16 of 25 open)52% (13 of 25 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +11 pts n=150, ROI +7%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=59, ROI +5%
  • NHL +2 pts n=84, ROI +3%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—MLB −1 pts, n=64——
Settled positions, side won—35% of 795 at avg 33¢, ROI −2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—55% (won 7% of 439)11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 44% of 101)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 63% of 120)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 97% of 135)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x53eCc53E7BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $144Yes $31—