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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Biggggggggndb1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)42% (1348–1839, n=3187)66% (875–457, n=1332)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$3.5M$631K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #9PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (177 of 240 open)72% (95 of 132 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Economy −5 pts, n=105NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%68% of 3485 at avg 66¢, ROI 0%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 75% of 8)28% (won 8% of 963)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢0%26% (won 93% of 29)5% (won 43% of 174)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)5% (won 67% of 172)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 96% of 27)62% (won 97% of 2176)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Biggggggggndb1
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $171
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $4No $43
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $13