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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market12% (584–4136, n=4720)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)
Consensus PnL—-$97K—$9.4M
Tracked as—PM monthly #242—PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position51% (126 of 246 open)no open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +2 pts n=30, ROI 0%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Entertainment −9 pts, n=171——
Settled positions, side won—24% of 2649 at avg 28¢, ROI 0%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—68% (won 2% of 1799)—11% (won 80% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 36% of 148)—35% (won 98% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 52% of 187)—35% (won 100% of 201)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 86% of 515)—20% (won 100% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.