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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677Limousin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)47% (1564–1796, n=3360)
Consensus PnL—$7.7M$3.3M$14K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #7was PM monthly #600
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position81% (29 of 36 open)no open consensus position57% (26 of 46 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 830 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 100% of 66)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)23% (won 100% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)14% (won 100% of 117)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 455)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677Limousin
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $12K—Buccaneers $3
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $96—Buccaneers $173
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.3K—Under $131