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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)no settled market43% (46–60, n=106)
Consensus PnL—$8.4M—$121K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #38
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position82% (32 of 39 open)no open consensus position50% (17 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%—
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)8% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)8% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)69% (won 67% of 9)—
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)15% (won 100% of 2)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $142K—Vikings $31K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $13K—Bills $4.7K