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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankprimmzerone777
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)28% (449–1172, n=1621)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$36K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #46PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (18 of 29 open)no open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Elections ±0 pts, n=212
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%43% of 609 at avg 44¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)50% (won 2% of 307)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)5% (won 29% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)7% (won 64% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)37% (won 96% of 226)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.