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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00akrollbeachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)35% (279–526, n=805)67% (43–21, n=64)66% (877–458, n=1335)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$119K$6.1M$4.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #111—PM monthly #12
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (24 of 32 open)100% (1 of 1 open)77% (27 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Elections −3 pts, n=72NBA −6 pts, n=93NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%52% (won 1% of 205)3% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢0%2% (won 43% of 7)30% (won 57% of 63)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)4% (won 53% of 15)54% (won 51% of 115)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up0%42% (won 96% of 167)14% (won 86% of 29)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00akrollbeachboy4ndb1
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $17K—No $235K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $6.0K—No $41K