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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00e46m3joseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market38% (12112–19352, n=31464)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL—$536K$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #7PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (356 of 476 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 18% of 2197)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 53% of 397)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 71% of 531)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 97% of 2679)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00e46m3joseph00677S-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $9—No $7