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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0F6200gringo00BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)54% (2398–2068, n=4466)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL-$207K$3.5M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #430was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)no open consensus position74% (73 of 99 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −6 pts, n=695———
Settled positions, side won52% of 4061 at avg 56¢, ROI −1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 19% of 631)0%10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 39% of 1420)0%36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 51% of 822)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 87% of 1188)0%20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0F6200gringo00BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $10K—Chiefs $465K—