Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x0f3433d8b7596000bf1046aa822308d93cf67684RN1BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)37% (518–875, n=1393)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)45% (542–652, n=1194)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$162K$14.8M$11.0M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #820PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)72% (13 of 18 open)86% (134 of 156 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +7 pts n=34, ROI +6%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=19, ROI +3%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=945———
Settled positions, side won34% of 1226 at avg 35¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 9% of 621)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 41% of 244)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 213)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 87% of 148)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x0f3433d8b7596000bf1046aa822308d93cf67684RN1BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.9KNo $75——