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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x11963E4f3548c5Cbdcce3a62F9fF6b42975efE97-1768163136502 | e46m3 | gmpm2 | googleplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | 40% (2–3, n=5) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $23 | -$6.1K | $391K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #266 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #17 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 80% (12 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 48¢, ROI +52% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 100% (won 100% of 2) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 19% (won 70% of 10) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 76% (won 85% of 41) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 6% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.