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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1B8FfDb4FF99B4622F099465C486E4F75751cca7-1779298477893BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)38% (450–719, n=1169)45% (535–643, n=1178)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$5.3K$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)72% (83 of 116 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +55 pts n=12, ROI +58%
  • NBA +42 pts n=36, ROI +34%
  • Tennis +31 pts n=289, ROI +23%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won68% of 644 at avg 39¢, ROI +18%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 38% of 134)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 71% of 347)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 87% of 163)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1B8FfDb4FF99B4622F099465C486E4F75751cca7-1779298477893BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.8KNo $16K—