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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | joseph00677 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (168–314, n=482) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $5.6M | $5.8M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #138 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (17 of 42 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=174 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1344 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 495) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 35% of 31) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 84% of 31) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 99% of 787) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | joseph00677 | beachboy4 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | — | — | No $99K |