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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023RN1ndb1
Record (consensus markets)37% (207–356, n=563)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$88K$14.8M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #288PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)55% (26 of 47 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=772—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won63% of 1348 at avg 63¢, ROI +5%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 1% of 475)10% (won 57% of 2537)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 45% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5518)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 79% of 42)36% (won 99% of 8928)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 802)32% (won 100% of 7821)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.