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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)37% (207–356, n=563)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$88K$4.4M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #288was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)no open consensus position87% (143 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=772——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1348 at avg 63¢, ROI +5%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 1% of 475)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 45% of 29)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 79% of 42)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 802)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $117—Yes $31K