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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (591–526, n=1117) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $595K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 90% (128 of 142 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | MMA −8 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 989 at avg 50¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 27% of 120) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 55% of 419) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 63% of 322) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 90% of 128) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.3K | Yes $2.6K | — | — |