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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876RN1joseph00677pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)46% (120–143, n=263)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)50% (10–10, n=20)51% (196–192, n=388)
Consensus PnL$25K$13.4M$5.3M$5.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2was PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus57% (17 of 30 open)71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won70% of 162 at avg 55¢, ROI +8%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 17% of 46)10% (won 57% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 79% of 24)22% (won 94% of 5518)6% (won 0% of 1)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 86% of 22)36% (won 99% of 8928)65% (won 73% of 11)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 96% of 70)32% (won 100% of 7821)18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.