← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | wowfarm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (69–71, n=140) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 66% (489–253, n=742) | 100% (6–0, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | -$392K | $822K | -$129K | $21 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #46 + pinned | PM monthly #548 |
| Sides with the consensus | 23% (3 of 13 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 12) | 29% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 13% (won 100% of 26) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 30% (won 100% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 51% (won 100% of 106) | 71% (won 100% of 5) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | wowfarm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $227K | Ciryl Gane $323K | — | — |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva opposite sides · consensus Mirra Andreeva | Aryna Sabalenka $21K | — | Mirra Andreeva $7.1K | — |