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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | kaxel78 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (64–71, n=135) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$420K | $822K | — | -$1 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #55 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (167 of 183 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Economy −2 pts, n=12 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 78% of 94 at avg 79¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 0% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 3% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 76% (won 100% of 71) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | kaxel78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $226K | Ciryl Gane $323K | — | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.7K | — | No $330 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $17K | — | No $409 |