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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465DavidShekeljoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)32% (403–863, n=1266)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$158K$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #374PM monthly #2PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)77% (36 of 47 open)no open consensus position68% (106 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • F1 +21 pts n=89, ROI −13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=269, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −7 pts, n=17—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)24% (won 18% of 136)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 76% of 34)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)15% (won 90% of 87)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)56% (won 99% of 321)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465DavidShekeljoseph00677ndb1
Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $351
Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $22—Yes $22
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4—Yes $16
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
—No $192—No $173
Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
—No $16—No $17