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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMKSafe
Record (consensus markets)57% (4470–3348, n=7818)53% (5919–5290, n=11209)61% (11–7, n=18)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$3.9K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21PM monthly #259
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)70% (172 of 246 open)39% (7 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%35% of 20 at avg 34¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)50% (won 10% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)15% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)15% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMKSafe
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $33KQuentin Halys $25K—
Luanda: Suzan Lamens vs Kristina Kroitor
same side · consensus Kristina Kroitor
Suzan Lamens $55Suzan Lamens $1.0K—