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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorphaveagooddayjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)35% (1604–2989, n=4593)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$22K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #23PM monthly #119PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)72% (83 of 116 open)86% (105 of 122 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −2 pts, n=690—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%55% of 3042 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)39% (won 1% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)3% (won 42% of 106)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 62% of 169)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)52% (won 96% of 1585)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorphaveagooddayjoseph00677
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.2KAlice Tubello $2.8K——