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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorplava-lavaRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)75% (741–246, n=987)no settled market66% (480–244, n=724)
Consensus PnL-$493K$70K$0-$147K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #103PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus17% (1 of 6 open)66% (73 of 110 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40Finance −17 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)34% (won 9% of 93)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)23% (won 48% of 64)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)20% (won 67% of 54)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)24% (won 92% of 65)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorplava-lavaRN1
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $2.2K—Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.4K