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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | lightningbolts | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (62–68, n=130) | 75% (739–246, n=985) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | 66% (480–243, n=723) |
| Consensus PnL | -$290K | $69K | $4.6K | -$141K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #995 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (2 of 7 open) | 66% (73 of 111 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 4 at avg 64¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | lightningbolts | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira same side · consensus Tiago Pereira | Kilian Feldbausch $112K | Kilian Feldbausch $1.4K | — | — |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri | — | Buvaysar Gadamauri $2.2K | — | Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.1K |