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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | ndb1 | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | no settled market | 67% (49–24, n=73) |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | $227K | $2 | $836 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #781 |
| Sides with the consensus | 17% (1 of 6 open) | 67% (41 of 61 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (10 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% | 89% of 36 at avg 69¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 100% (won 50% of 2) | 11% (won 50% of 4) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% | 14% (won 60% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | 53% (won 100% of 19) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | ndb1 | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Magic $58K | Jazz $960 | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $93 | Vikings $1.9K | — | — |