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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | akroll | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | 26% (434–1205, n=1639) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $38K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #75 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (20 of 37 open) | 92% (67 of 73 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (88 of 154 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Elections −1 pts, n=189 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 46% of 564 at avg 47¢, ROI +12% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 47% (won 2% of 266) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 5% (won 40% of 30) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 7% (won 59% of 37) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 41% (won 95% of 231) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | akroll | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $265 | — | — | Raptors $38 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $11 | — | — | Raptors $190 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | — | — | Grizzlies $101 |
| Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $514 | — | — | Under $12 |
| Spread: East Carolina (-4.5) same side · consensus South Florida | South Florida $24 | — | — | South Florida $113 |