← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 43% (33–44, n=77) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | $8.4K | $227K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #553 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #6 |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (2 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (41 of 61 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 67% of 33 at avg 48¢, ROI +18% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 39% (won 69% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 52% (won 71% of 17) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 69% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Magic $58K | — | Jazz $960 | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $93 | — | Vikings $1.9K | — |