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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465claudionetotraderFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3296, n=7817)57% (1092–818, n=1910)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$87K$3.5M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #720PM monthly #24PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)no open consensus position71% (232 of 328 open)73% (81 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 12% of 428)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)10% (won 37% of 155)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)14% (won 75% of 214)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)47% (won 97% of 694)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465claudionetotraderFlaznorpndb1
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $20K—Lorenzo Musetti $18K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $475—No $2.4K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $1.1K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9K—Over $3.9K—
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.9K—Rider Broncs $171—