Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788RN1winner877
Record (consensus markets)49% (67–71, n=138)56% (5–4, n=9)66% (485–245, n=730)100% (5–0, n=5)
Consensus PnL-$415K$421K-$161K$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #48PM monthly #46 + pinnedwas PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus42% (5 of 12 open)no open consensus position58% (7 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%83% of 6 at avg 92¢, ROI −19%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)20% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)20% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 100% of 26)0%
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)60% (won 100% of 3)30% (won 100% of 62)0%
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)0%51% (won 100% of 106)100% (won 83% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788RN1winner877
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Karolina Muchova
Karolina Muchova $14K—Elina Svitolina $5.9K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.1K—No $6.3K—