← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | joseph00677 | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (36–37, n=73) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | no settled market | 67% (34–17, n=51) |
| Consensus PnL | -$388K | $391K | — | $10K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #783 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | joseph00677 | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Oskari Paldanius vs Raul Brancaccio same side · consensus Oskari Paldanius | Raul Brancaccio $417 | — | — | Raul Brancaccio $551 |